Kathmandu Gorkhas vs Karnali Yaks Match Prediction – NPL Season 3 Match 10

Kathmandu Gorkhas vs Karnali Yaks match prediction for NPL Season 3 Match 10: the Monday day game at the TU International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur, on Monday 2 November at 12:15 PM NST, with our winner pick, pitch report, head-to-head and toss call.

Match Details

Team Form

Kathmandu have one Season 3 game behind them, and it was a heavy defeat. On Thursday against Janakpur, Kathmandu were bowled out for 115 in 19.3 overs, and Janakpur reached 116 for 2 in 17.2 overs, winning by 8 wickets with 16 balls left. Bhim Sharki top-scored with 33 off 29, only four batters reached double figures, and Ripon Mondol's 1 for 17 made him Kathmandu's only wicket-taker. One game, zero points, and a batting order that folded.

Karnali have two Season 3 games behind them, and both were wins. Against Janakpur in Match 3, Karnali defended 132 for 9 and bowled Janakpur out for 113, winning by 19 runs, with Unish Thakuri taking 3 for 22. Against Biratnagar in Match 6, Karnali chased 187 and won by 4 wickets with one ball left, with Sompal Kami unbeaten on 62 off 32 after taking 4 for 33. Two games, four points, and the only unbeaten record left in the league.

Kathmandu Gorkhas vs Karnali Yaks Head-to-Head Record

No verified head-to-head record is available for this fixture, so none is claimed here. It is also their first meeting in Season 3: Kathmandu have played only Match 5, Karnali have played Matches 3 and 6, and the two sides have not met yet this season. With no past meeting to lean on, this prediction rests on what is known: Karnali's two wins and Kathmandu's one heavy defeat.

Venue and Pitch Report

The TU Ground in Kirtipur hosts all 32 Season 3 matches. The season's totals here already tell a story of two kinds of game: the opener finished with 87 and 88 for 3, Match 2 finished with 157 for 3 and 149 all out, Match 3 finished with 132 for 9 and 113 all out, Match 5 finished with 115 all out and 116 for 2, and Match 6 finished with 186 for 7 and 187 for 6. A Monday day game should play differently again, in daylight throughout.

No verified pitch report for Monday 2 November was available when this article was written. The record book still stands: the highest total here is 220 for 6 (18 November 2025), the lowest Janakpur's 51 all out, and the highest individual score Mark Watt's 114 not out.

Weather

No verified forecast for Kirtipur on Monday 2 November was available when this article was written. The 12:15 PM start means the game is played in daylight throughout, so daytime conditions shape both innings.

Probable Playing XI

Kathmandu: Karan KC (C), Michael Pepper (WK), Bhim Sharki, Shahab Alam, Abinash Bohara, Hemant Dhami, Rijan Dhakal, James Neesham, Dan Lawrence, Gerhard Erasmus, Pratis GC.

Karnali: Sompal Kami (C), Gulshan Jha, Mark Watt, Shahbazada Farhan, Hussain Talat, Babar Khan (WK), Pawan Sarraf, Dipendra Rawat, Nandan Yadav, Unish B.S. Thakuri, Bipin Sharma.

Both XIs are probable, from the pre-match graphic, and both are confirmed at the toss. Full detail sits in our predicted playing XIs.

Key Players to Watch

For Kathmandu: Karan KC, the captain, and Bhim Sharki, who top-scored with 33 in the opener, plus James Neesham, named in the graphic XI after sitting out Match 5. For Karnali: Sompal Kami, 62 not out and 4 for 33 in Match 6, and Mark Watt, the overseas all-rounder. Note that Kathmandu's graphic XI differs in eight places from the Match 5 XI — one more reason the toss matters.

Fantasy Picks

Fantasy picks, not betting advice. Captain: Sompal Kami, who scored 62 not out and took 4 for 33 in Match 6 and captains the side. Vice-captain: Bhim Sharki, who top-scored with 33 in Kathmandu's opener.

Top picks: Sompal and Bhim Sharki. Karan KC and Hussain Talat back them up, with Mark Watt behind them; James Neesham is the Kathmandu differential, named in the graphic XI after sitting out Match 5. Avoid loading up on one side's middle order: with Kathmandu folding for 115 in the opener, spread picks across both sides.

Toss Prediction

Expect the toss, about 11:45 AM NST, to matter less than in the day-night games. This is a day game starting at 12:15 PM NST and played in daylight throughout, so the late-dew chase factor does not apply. The captain winning the toss makes the call on a fresh daytime pitch, and no strong day-game toss bias is claimed here.

Kathmandu Gorkhas vs Karnali Yaks Match Prediction: Who Will Win?

Our pick: Karnali Yaks, narrowly, with low confidence. Karnali's case is the form book: two wins from two, a captain who scored 62 not out and took 4 for 33 in Match 6, and a side that has already won defending a total and chasing one. Kathmandu's case is the opener: bowled out for 115, only four batters in double figures, and just one wicket taken.

Kathmandu's counter-case is real: the graphic XI brings in Neesham, Pepper, Lawrence and Erasmus, fresh overseas strength on paper, and a day game can turn on one partnership. But with Kathmandu's graphic XI differing in eight places from the Match 5 XI, which Kathmandu turns up is genuinely unknown, and with no verified head-to-head, the gap between these sides is small, and confidence stays low. Karnali by a narrow margin.

Kathmandu Gorkhas vs Karnali Yaks – Who will win?

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Conclusion

Karnali's two-from-two form makes them narrow favourites over a Kathmandu side whose graphic XI is largely new from Match 5. With no head-to-head and a day game ahead, this stays a low-confidence call.